Russia stumbles
Today’s geopolitical choice of Russia isn’t definitive, more precisely it doesn’t exist at all. Till now big hesitations are taking place which are characteristic to the Russian crises and their future is very unpredictable. Both West’s and ex-USSR’s political observers and state leaders understand this perfectly. The Yeltsin’s regime doesn’t represent the same Russia whose recovering is expected with ultra-fear or in a great hurry. Radical changes in this country which has “nuclear blackjack” is predictable but correct conclusions and concrete actions are characteristic to individual countries. Yes, the West
does a lot of things to keep Russia in the aspect of free world and for neutralizing the threat of recovering or “Russian factor” in future. He is even ready tochange “the great seven”for the “great eight”. He prefers to control Russia with the big price of expenditures and provide its position,with the version of Italian and Canadian as a great country, in the world. But during the year of Yeltsin’s governing and a half-year of Gaidar’s reformations significant progress hasn’t been noticed. Western observers and experts perform their desperate concern about Russia’s future noticing fairly that the terms of building the bases of democratization and economic stability isn’t unlimited and today’s regime isn’t capable to do radical irrevocable processes. For the West this means only one thing: Russia can return to the “Russian way” of own identity which is perceptible only for him and which inevitable component part is anti-westernization. Distinguished with unlimited optimism Wets at the same time doesn’t lose his vigilance and doesn’t exclude the Russia’s future may go on that way. So he undertakes all possible ways that the Russian threat never recovers by the capacities which were in pre-communistic past, generally in the last decades. Every expert who is more or less familiar with the history of “Russian way” knows that in the aspect of outward policy it is demonstrated with expansionist ambitions which is directed the traditional regions of Russia’s vital interest. In the West it is Slavonic Europe, in the South, on the front it is the Christian part of Transcaucasus, and on the second line it is arab-muslim East. If Russia recovers his influence on these areas the factor of Russian power will become a full problem of the agenda. Estimating soberly the developing of the events, using the western propensity of Russia’s today’s regime and having unique opportunity to do own black work by Russian forces which is the most important the West promotes an activity to all directions. The creation of the sanitary line around Russia is being realized with all might though the Russian observers perform only their concern about such future. We have already spoken about arab-muslim East, I only want to add that the turkish monopoly (monolith) which has inclination to the West can be used withdouble perspectives: a) at present it’s a “cover” for East and serves for the struggle against Iranian front, b) in the perspective it can be a buffer between Russia and East.
Translated from Armenian by Lilith Aghajanian, Grade 11-3
Комментариев нет:
Отправить комментарий